Domino Group LLC serves as research partner for this proposed project — methodology, data aggregation, and the draft materials prepared for discussion with William Jewell College and its students.
Forecast inputs are drawn from Metaculus community forecasting, the Grace et al. expert survey of AI researchers, METR capability measurements, and named public forecasts, as cited on the methodology page. The Doomsday Clock (Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists) is referenced as an exhibit, not a data source.
This is a sample demo — a draft, not published. It was prepared for discussion with William Jewell College. Stewardship of the project, including this page, transfers to the college when the project is adopted.